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Image - Flood Room Live status - deactivated

Flood Room Live is deactivated. For information on current river levels, flows and rainfall accumulations, please visit our Environmental Data Hub.

Weather forecasts and sites monitored 

Published Wednesday, 30 April 2025

Situation

The Coromandel and Waihou Piako zones received some heavy rainfall overnight, with associated thunderstorms and heavy downpours, causing rivers across the eastern parts of the region to rise. Visit our Environmental Data Hub for the latest river level and rainfall accumulations. 

Heavy rainfall and strong westerly winds associated with a low pressure system and will impact the region from Wednesday to Thursday. Additionally, for the eastern Coromandel Peninsula, the concurrence of high tide and swell is likely to cause some minor localised coastal impacts. 

Please keep up to date with the latest forecasts as more Watches or Warnings are likely to be issued in the coming days.

MetService forecast

Changes to the weather can occur quickly, so please keep up-to-date with the latest forecasts. For national severe weather information, MetService is New Zealand’s only authorised provider of Severe Weather Alerts.

Strong Wind Watch

Area: Auckland, Great Barrier Island, Coromandel Peninsula, and Waikato north of Hamilton
Period: 5 hours from 7am Thursday to 12pm Thursday
Forecast: Westerly winds may approach severe gale in exposed places.
Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Heavy Rain Watch

Area: Bay of Plenty about and west of Opotiki (including Kaimai ranges and southern parts of the Coromandel Ranges in the Waikato region)
Period: 11 hours from 10am Wednesday to 9pm Wednesday
Forecast: Periods of heavy rain, and amounts may approach warning criteria. Thunderstorms possible.
Moderate chance of upgrading to a Warning.

Map of the North Island showing areas of the Waikato region under Strong Wind Watch.

Thunderstorm outlook

The complex trough of low pressure affects northern and central New Zealand, bringing possible periods of heavy rainfall to parts of the region.

There is a moderate risk of thunderstorms this afternoon and evening for southwest Northland, Auckland (including Great Barrier Island), Waikato, Waitomo, the far north of Taranaki, Taumarunui, Taihape, Taupō, Coromandel Peninsula, Bay of Plenty. These thunderstorms may bring localised rainfall rates of 10 to 25 mm/h.

Moving into Thursday morning, for coastal parts of Waikato and Waitomo, there is a moderate risk of thunderstorms before dawn. These thunderstorms may bring localised rainfall rates of 10 to 25 mm/h. Additionally, there is a low risk of thunderstorms for the rest of the Waikato region.

Map of New Zealand showing areas impacted by the thunderstorm outlook valid to midnight Wednesday.

Map of New Zealand showing areas impacted by the thunderstorm outlook from midnight Wednesday to midday Thursday.

What we are now doing 

Our response staff continue to monitor weather forecasts and key sites across the region. 

Likely/potential Impacts

Rivers and lakes

Even without prior watches or warnings in place for Tuesday night, Coromandel and Hauraki catchments received significant rainfall last night, including 160mm at Pinnacles, 130mm at Golden Cross, and 70mm at Queens Head rainfall gauges over the last 24 hours. 

The Ohinemuri River level at Karangahake has just peaked and is expected to start falling shortly, along with other rivers in the area. 

We are closely monitoring the Waihou River, which takes some time to respond. The Waihou River in Te Aroha is still rising. As the water moves downstream, the river will begin to peak in areas like Tirohia. Downstream of Paeroa, the Waihou River is influenced by coastal tides, so you can expect higher river levels during high tides.

However, with the possibility of thunderstorms throughout the day bringing potential heavy downpours, these may cause rivers to rise quickly again. 

There is a possibility of localised river flooding in low lying areas, especially during high tides. 

Map of the Waikato region showing rainfall levels at monitored sites over the past seven days.

Wind

A strong wind watch is in force for eastern and northern parts of the region, with westerly winds that may approach severe gale in exposed places.

Please keep up to date with information from your local electricity provider for power outage extents and estimated restoration time, and for the latest roading conditions from your local council and NZ Transport Agency Waka Kotahi

Coastal impacts

The current coastal conditions are unlikely to cause significant coastal inundation. For eastern Coromandel, the concurrence of high tide and swell is likely to cause some wave overtopping in low lying areas during high tides. Coastal erosion is possible over high tides, where water will likely reach the dune areas.

The coastal impacts are expected during high tide tonight and possibly tomorrow morning. The tide times for Whitianga are:

Wednesday 30/04/2025
•    Low tide - 02:35 pm
•    High tide - 8:57 pm

Thursday 01/05/2025
•    Low tide - 03:09 am
•    High tide - 09:13 am
•    Low tide - 03:27 pm
•    High tide - 09:50 pm 

Land instability

As expected, several shallow landslides have occurred around the Coromandel Peninsula and impacted local roads. 
While the main rainfall event may have passed it is important to be aware of a heightened landslide risk in coming days as soils are more saturated.  

Central and southern areas of the Coromandel Peninsula have received the highest rainfall so the Tapu-Coroglen Road and State Highways 25 and 25A in particular will remain vulnerable for a time. Travellers using these routes should check the latest road conditions with Thames-Coromandel District Council and NZ Transport Agency Waka Kotahi

Waikato Regional Council flood and drainage schemes 

Local flood response staff are on standby monitoring the situation.

All flood and drainage schemes across the region are operating as they should.

Waikato Regional Council telemetry

All Waikato Regional Council telemetry is working. Visit our Environmental Data Hub for the latest river level and rainfall accumulations. 

Next update

Flood Room Live will be updated by 1pm on Thursday, 1 May.